Second opponent: Iran

April 5th, 2006 | By: Luis Paulo | 5 Comments »

Iran has today their most talented squad ever. They are considered the Asia’s third power and they even have their own “magical square”. They also gain Bob’s confidence in his infallible predictions. The “Team Melli” is hoping to be one of the biggest surprises this summer. So let’s take a minute to analyze them.

To me, that might mean they will do better then 98, where they almost tied with Yugoslavia in a heroic appearance and defeated the U.S. However the Iranians have to improve a lot to earn the chance to qualify to the last 16 this year. Let’s not forget: the World Cup is not an Asian competition where you need to match Jordania or Barhein.

Goalkeeper

Ebrahim Mirzapour seemed like a risky choice at the beginning. Many people in Iran prefered a more experienced goalie. Although he starter nervously, he showed why he was trusted to be Iran #1. However he lacks consistence, having failed in some important moments during the Qualifies.

Defense

To me, it’s the team’s weakness. Although the Iranians seemed to love the Messina’s defender Rahman Rezaei and much hope rely on their right back Hossein Kaebi, they lack defensive power. Golmohammadi is already 35, and Rezaei is 31 years old. They aren’t that fast anymore and it won’t be easy for them to hold young players like Cristiano Ronaldo. The right back is Kaebi. He is very fast and could be a surprise at the attack but he lacks a little bit of defensive power too. The left part of Iranian’s defense is their weakest part. Neither Nosrati nor Zare are left-footed. Nosrati might be the first choice, although he seems misplaced at the left wing. Between July and October last year, he scored 4 own goals. What a record! The defense isn’t tall either. Plus, their goalie biggest weakness relies on high crosses balls. So, they have only 2 months left to figure out how to stop Jared Borgetti’s headers.

Midfield

If the defense is the Iranians weakness, their midfield is their strength. Zandi and Nekouman help the weak defense. Born in Germany but son of an Iranian father, Zandi adds to Iran some European style. He has good defensive skills and yet can be a talented playmaker and a long shooter. At the offensive line, Bayern München’s midfielder Ali Karimi is the team’s biggest star. But the talented player is now recovering from an injury and won’t be at his best form at Germany. If he doesn’t attend this World Cup at his best, it could be deadly for Iranians chances. At his side, plays Mahdavikia one of the most successful Iranian players who at the present, plays for Hamburg (GER). He is fast, therefore he can help the attack and get back in enough time to not leave the defense uncover.

Offense

Also part of “Team Melli” magical square (among with Mahdavikia and Karimi) there are Hashemian and Ali Daei. Daei is FIFA’s all time top international scorer. The 6’3” Iranian striker is already 37years old but yet a key part of the team. His skills in the air are his strongest attribute but his leadership among the players is not what it’s supposed to be. We should also pay attention to Hashemian. He is strong in aerial duels and played some significant games at the Qualifies.

Replacements

Replacements are the Team Melli second weakness. They have none. With some old players, Karimi injured and an often booked defense, they should be concerned. At a friendly in 2005 against England’s 2nd Division team Queen’s Park Rangers without their main players, Iran lost by 3-0.

To me, Iran arrives this year in Germany with a much more improved team than their last appearance in France. However it won’t be enough to defeat well prepared and consistent teams like Portugal or Mexico. They have more chance than Angola to surprise us but I can’t see them holding strong players like Borgetti, C. Ronaldo, Figo or Pauleta. Maybe if they were facing France or Germany they would have a better chance. Iran lacks consistence and I just can’t trust a team who lost to Jordania during the Qualifies to be between the last 16.

So, the Portuguese people can’t expect a game as easy as they hoped it would be, but yet, not a strong opponent as Bob predicted.

You can also take a closer look at Angola.



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Comments
Username By Pedro P | April 5th, 2006 at 10:46 am
top comment
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I don’t want to kill your optimistic wave LP, but would you trust a team that concedes Liechtenstein a 2-2 draw?

I keep saying this, but there’s no doubt in anybody’s mind that POR is better than USA or KOR (or Greece) :-( .

Still we’ve lost… That is what counts. Nobody cares if we’re better or not. It’s about winning. Not ranking.

#1 – Be realisitc: GOOD, Be Optimistic: BETTER. BUT, by all means, WE MUST KEEP OUR HEAD ON OUR NECK. Iran has the same chances we do. We have to fight more than ANY adversariy. ALWAYS.

#2 – Imagine we go through as group D nr1. Then we meet group C nr2. Already nice…

#3 – If we win, we face the winner of group C nr1 vs group D nr2. Even better…

#4 – If we win, chances are we play Brazil or Italy or Czech in the semi’s. Any comment…?

I can’t think of a worse “agenda”, and based on this, I agree Germany should feel very optimistic. So, if odds are all that counts, we might as well stay home or go to the beach in June… ;-)

If we want to win, we MUST be as foccused against IRA, ANG, or ANY other…

But if we can win the WC? OF COURSE WE CAN! FORCA PORTUGAL!!!

Posted from Netherlands Netherlands

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Username By Luis Paulo | April 5th, 2006 at 3:17 pm
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I believe the players should be humble. We should be realistic. That’s what i’m saying here. Iran has a good attack, Karimi is a great player but if someone wants my opinion, they won’t qualify. Iran doesn’t have the same chance as POR because they don’t have as talented players as POR. They could suprise us? Of course they could. I analyzed Angola and Iran. Maybe when you read my analyses about Mexico you will think that i’m being more realistic.

The reason I believe Iran won’t make it is because at the WC, defense is what’s metter. They might score first but can they hold the result? I don’t think so. But that’s just my opinion.

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Username By Ceasar Lourenco | April 5th, 2006 at 3:29 pm
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To make it in the WC you need good defense like you said LP, in form strikers and luck! You can never underestimate how much luck effects the overall outcome.
EC00 in the France-Portugal semifinal, Xavier’s bullet is miraculously saved by Barthes and then Xavier’s hands it in the box…
WC02, Brasil just gets by Turkey and win it all, etc, etc,, In every major championship you need to have a good team and then you need luck and get some breaks from the ref’s.. France was the ultimate at getting breaks. Handballs not called, not once but 2 or 3 times… Poor Spain on the other hand is cursed. They either under-perform or when they do play well, the ref’s call all there goals off-side.. :-)
This is why the WC is such an incredible event!

Posted from Canada Canada

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Username By Luis Paulo | April 5th, 2006 at 3:42 pm
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Another thing to be consider is that this WC is played in Europe. At Asia a lot of surprises happend. But look the last 8 in 98 (France, Italy, Brazil, Denmark, Argentina, Netherlands, Croatia, Germany). Any big suprises?

Of course surprises might happend. But the europeans have one more factor to help them winning.

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Username By Pedro P | April 6th, 2006 at 3:22 am
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Hey LP, as I said, I don’t wish to break your optimistic wave. I’m just saying: “OK, I agree with you, but I’ll do the celebration AFTER winning”.

I’ve also seen only too often the tem underperforming, OR SIMPLY NOT SCORING, for no particular reason, and going home with a stamp of “wanna be” on the forehead – because that’s what happens if you have good players and nobody knows you exist because you never win at the end…

We all want the same and we only have one voice:

FORCA PORTUGAL – CAMPEOES! :-)

Posted from Netherlands Netherlands

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[...] My fellow blogger Luis Paolo of Portugal weblog has written a good piece on Iran, but I would not be a true Team Melli fan if I did not take exception to two points in his article. [...]

Posted from United States United States

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[...] You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site. Leave aReply [...]

Posted from United States United States

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